Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000739 0.000845 0.000957 0.001085 0.001225 0.001374 0.001545
2024-12-29 0.000565 0.000710 0.000875 0.001074 0.001308 0.001571 0.001888
2025-01-05 0.000476 0.000638 0.000831 0.001075 0.001372 0.001717 0.002147
2025-01-12 0.000402 0.000573 0.000784 0.001062 0.001411 0.001830 0.002365
2025-01-19 0.000342 0.000515 0.000738 0.001041 0.001434 0.001918 0.002550
2025-01-26 0.000310 0.000489 0.000729 0.001064 0.001509 0.002068 0.002813
2025-02-02 0.000281 0.000465 0.000718 0.001082 0.001575 0.002208 0.003065
2025-02-09 0.000245 0.000426 0.000684 0.001064 0.001592 0.002282 0.003232
2025-02-16 0.000213 0.000390 0.000649 0.001042 0.001600 0.002343 0.003382
2025-02-23 0.000195 0.000372 0.000640 0.001054 0.001654 0.002465 0.003614
2025-03-02 0.000178 0.000353 0.000628 0.001061 0.001700 0.002577 0.003833
2025-03-09 0.000154 0.000322 0.000593 0.001032 0.001692 0.002612 0.003949
2025-03-16 0.000133 0.000292 0.000559 0.001002 0.001682 0.002646 0.004064
2025-03-23 0.000119 0.000275 0.000543 0.000999 0.001712 0.002735 0.004259
2025-03-30 0.000107 0.000259 0.000529 0.000998 0.001743 0.002826 0.004458
2025-04-06 0.000095 0.000242 0.000509 0.000986 0.001756 0.002891 0.004620
2025-04-13 0.000083 0.000223 0.000486 0.000966 0.001756 0.002937 0.004754
2025-04-20 0.000078 0.000218 0.000488 0.000988 0.001821 0.003079 0.005030
2025-04-27 0.000073 0.000212 0.000487 0.001005 0.001879 0.003211 0.005294
2025-05-04 0.000064 0.000196 0.000467 0.000988 0.001881 0.003259 0.005434
2025-05-11 0.000056 0.000181 0.000446 0.000967 0.001876 0.003295 0.005557
2025-05-18 0.000052 0.000175 0.000443 0.000979 0.001925 0.003414 0.005806
2025-05-25 0.000048 0.000169 0.000438 0.000985 0.001964 0.003521 0.006037